2007'12.05.Wed
TNS Predicts China's Market Research Industry Will Overtake Japan Around 2012 to Become Fifth Largest Globally
November 14, 2007
Volume of Market Research Business Generated by Chinese Companies to Continue Growing Faster than Multinational Spends SHANGHAI, Nov. 14 /Xinhua-PRNewswire/ -- In 2009, China's fast-growing market research industry will have grown by as much as 70% from its 2006 annual value of US$600 million* to become worth more than US$1 billion. By around 2012, China will overtake Japan and will be the world's 5th largest market for market research. These two key predictions were made today by Tony Cowling, President of TNS and President of Gallup International Association, at the China Europe Business Meeting Frankfurt, where top business leaders from Europe and China are exploring current and future relationships. During the last 5 years, money spent with market research agencies in China has doubled, and over the past 10 years it has quadrupled with China's market research industry today worth US$600 million. "A country which did virtually no commercial research 15 years ago is now in 8th place globally, and at current growth rates (nearly 25% absolute and 17% net of inflation), has already overtaken Spain and will pass Italy in 2008 to become 6th largest in the world," said Mr Cowling. "It is realistic to expect market research to show 15% to 20% real growth in the next five years, and certainly double-digit real growth for the next 10 years." Even when China eclipses Japan, there will still be significant room for growth based on annual market research spend per capita. While China will then be the second largest market in the world for advertising, China's annual market research per capita will stand at US$3 in 2012, against the US$30 that will be seen for the US and Germany, and nearly US$40 in France and the UK. For many years, western global brands drove demand for market research but Tony Cowling said this has changed. "Over the past three or four years, the volume of market research generated by Chinese companies has been growing much faster than the multinational spend. China's leading market research agencies are finding that the volume of business they receive from Chinese companies is approaching 50% of turnover. Our partner in China for continuous and syndicated business -- CTR Market Research -- is certainly seeing more rapid growth on the Chinese side of its business." Tony Cowling emphasised the future importance of China's `local' agencies, especially given the growing importance of China's 2nd tier and 3rd tier cities. "As is well known, development in China is happening in many centres simultaneously. In the 2nd tier and 3rd tier cities, the domestic Chinese market research companies are at an advantage owing to their local knowledge, unique culture, and the difficulties western global brands have in extending distribution networks and targeting the right consumers." Tony Cowling completed his speech in Frankfurt by saying that, looking ahead five years or more, market research agencies in Europe can expect more business coming out of China's borders -- in the same way that countries such as Japan and the United States have always been big buyers of research in Europe. "Currently, the bulk of Chinese exports are not `China branded' -- they are components or semi-produced items, or `made to order' products for Western branding. But through our own consumer panels and media measurement panels, we have many examples of the recent growth and strength of Chinese brands. As Chinese companies start to look overseas for higher sales and greater brand share, they will come to Europe and the United States. This will be good for the big market research agencies who have already built up relationships with these companies in China. The big agencies in London, Paris, Berlin and New York will be required to help China's brands understand Europe and the United States, and successfully market and advertise their way into western markets." * Source: ESOMAR. For more information, please contact: Cindy Liu Marketing & Communications Manager TNS China Tel: +86-21-6360-0808 x156 Fax: +86-21-6360-0908 Email: cindy.liu@tns-global.com Website: http://www.tns-global.com
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